Los Angeles Chargers

Sunday

10:00 AM PACIFIC TIME

Jacksonville Jaguars

Here’s a full game preview of the upcoming matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Jacksonville Jaguars (Week 11, 2025) — everything from team form to key match-ups, injuries, and what to watch for. Can the Chargers tame those Jags? Could this be a “revenge game” after that Chargers playoff debacle?

Game Details

• Date & Time: Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 1:00 p.m. ET
• Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, Florida
• Matchup: Chargers (7-3) visiting Jaguars (5-4)
• Betting/Odds (as of reports): Chargers favored by 3 points. Total (over/under) in the low-40s.

Team Form & Season Context

Los Angeles Chargers

• The Chargers are 7-3 heading into this game and playing great!
• They’ve been on a bit of a roll recently — they bring momentum into this contest.
• On offense: Justin Herbert is the engine, and the passing game remains central. According to one analysis, Herbert had 2,610 passing yards through ten games.
• On defense: LA’s defense is performing well in recent weeks, tightening up after some earlier struggles.
• Road issues: One caveat — the Chargers travel, and historically their away-games have had a few bumps.

Jacksonville Jaguars

• The Jaguars sit at a bit over average at 5-4 entering Week 11.
• They started the season strong but have had some setbacks. One report notes a “disastrous collapse” in their most recent game. (Same disastrous thing happened to the Chargers in playoffs against Jags on Jan 14 2023)
• Offensively, the team has work to do. Trevor Lawrence hasn’t been as sharp as the team hoped this season. For example: 13 of 23 passes for 158 yards in their recent loss.
• Defensively, they face a challenge with LA’s passing attack.

Key Match-ups & Storylines

1. Chargers’ Passing Attack vs Jaguars’ Pass Defense

• Herbert and the Chargers’ aerial game are a big story. For example: Herbert expected to throw for ~260 yards and 2 TDs in some previews.
• The Jaguars allow a decent amount of passing yards. A preview points out that LA has a favorable matchup.
• If the Chargers can establish the pass and make the Jaguars defend sideline-to-sideline, that could tilt things.

2. Jaguars’ Offense: Can They Stay Competitive?

• Trevor Lawrence has had some rough patches: e.g., low completion percentage under 60% in recent game, multiple picks vs TDs.
• The Jaguars will need their running game and shorter passing game to keep drives alive, especially if the Chargers defense clamps down.
• Home field: playing in Jacksonville is a plus for them, but they need to take advantage.

3. Chargers’ Defense vs Jaguars’ Offense

• Chargers’ defense has looked sharper lately. According to one preview: they allowed only 10, 20 and 10 points in their last three games.
• The Jaguars’ offense has questions — as above — so if LA’s defense can dominate the trenches and pressure Lawrence, it may swing the game.

4. Injuries & Available Players

• For the Jaguars: Important note — rookie WR Travis Hunter has surgery and is out for the season.
• Also: TE Brenton Strange has entered his 21-day practice window (possible return) but uncertain.
• For the Chargers: They have some injury questions (e.g., tight end Oronde Gadsden II, others listed as “questionable”).
• The health of both squads at key positions could be a deciding factor.

5. Momentum / Psychological Factors

• The Chargers are riding momentum and looking to keep climbing.
• The Jaguars might be under pressure: loss of a lead, questions in offense, and needing to shore things up at home.
• In head‐to‐head history, LA leads the series (9-5 all time) and especially in recent meetings (8-3 in the last 11) according to one preview.

Fantasy & Betting Notes (for what they’re worth)

• The over/under is set around 43.5 to 44.5 points.
• Chargers favored by 3 points on the road. (Chargers -3_
• From a fantasy perspective: Chargers QB Justin Herbert projects well (passing yards, TDs). Jaguars’ Lawrence is riskier given his inconsistencies.
• For running backs / receivers: keep an eye on usage, especially if Jaguars fall behind and have to pass more.

Prediction & What to Watch

Prediction: The Chargers have the edge here. They bring momentum, a strong passing attack, and a defense that’s tightening up. The Jaguars have talent and home field, but some concerns on offense and injuries. A plausible final: Chargers win, something like 24-17. (Note: this is for insight, not a guarantee.)

What to watch:

• Can LA establish the pass early and put pressure on Jacksonville’s secondary?
• Will the Jaguars’ offense respond and keep the game competitive (running game, ball-control, limiting mistakes)?
• How well will Jacksonville’s defense handle Herbert and the Chargers’ receivers?
• Turnovers and field position: In a game this evenly matched, small mistakes could swing it.

Quick snapshot (numbers to anchor the evaluation)

• Justin Herbert (LAC) — ~2,610 pass yards, 19 TD, 8 INT this season (QBR ~63.6).
• Trevor Lawrence (JAX) — ~1,998 pass yards, 10 TD, 7 INT (QBR much lower than Herbert).

Herbert vs. Lawrence — how this matchup decides the game

• Herbert’s impact (what he brings): elite downfield arm and big-play upside — when he has time he will attack Jacksonville’s secondary vertically and manufacture points quickly. He’s been one of the team’s main yardage engines this year (see numbers above). Expect the Chargers to try to get him rhythm early and involve deep threats.
• Herbert’s main constraint: protection/pressure. Recent game logs and reporting show the Chargers have allowed heavy pressure and sacks on Herbert at times (multiple games with 15+ pressures; a recent game with 5 sacks/18 pressures). If Jacksonville can generate consistent pressure, it will reduce Herbert’s efficiency and increase turnover / negative-play risk. That pressure stat is the single biggest swing factor for Herbert’s ceiling.
• Lawrence’s impact (what he brings): arm strength and mobility — he can extend plays and improve a Jag’s offense on designed runs/bootlegs. When the run game (Travis Etienne) is working Lawrence faces fewer third-and-longs and can be efficient.
• Lawrence’s main constraint: overall consistency / clean pocket. His season QBR and counting stats show he’s been less efficient than Herbert; turnovers and inconsistent accuracy make him lower-ceiling in tight games. If the Chargers’ front collapses the pocket or forces negative plays, Lawrence’s ability to sustain long drives drops quickly.

Game implication: if Herbert has time and gets his top targets involved, Chargers control the tempo and can score in chunks. If Jaguars can pressure Herbert and make Lawrence comfortable (and run the ball successfully), the home side keeps it close. Turnovers + pass rush will be the deciding micro-factors.

Chargers — other key players & likely impact

• Quentin Johnston (WR) — primary downfield threat (about 500 receiving yards and 6 TDs this year). He’s the playmaker who benefits the most from Herbert’s vertical passing; expect schemed shots his way on intermediate/deep routes.
• Keenan Allen (WR / slot) — veteran chain-mover and high target share (team receiving leader in targets). Allen’s role will be to secure short-to-intermediate completions, keep chains moving, and help mitigate pressure by being a reliable checkdown option. (Chargers receiving stats / leaderboards).
• Chargers defense / pass rush — overall the Chargers defense has been solid this season (top-10 in yards/points allowed metrics), and they have edge rush pieces that can create problems for Lawrence if they win one-on-one battles. That defense can turn a game around in a hurry! If the Chargers defense plays well, it lowers the Lawrence factor and Chargers defense like to cause chaos

Jaguars — other key players & likely impact

• Travis Etienne (RB) — the Jaguars’ most reliable way to control clock and limit Herbert’s possessions. Etienne’s production (rushing attempts/yards this season) makes him the game-plan fulcrum: if he’s effective, Lawrence faces fewer pressure situations and can pick his spots. Expect Jacksonville to lean on him early and often!
• Jaguars defensive playmakers (e.g., Oluokun / Armstead in recent games) — Jacksonville’s D has shown it can create turnovers (four turnovers and key strip sacks in a notable win vs. San Francisco). Those playmaking abilities are what the Jags need to flip field position and force Herbert into riskier throws. Turnovers here are massive swing events.
• Jaguars receiving corps / role players — with injuries and roster moves the Jags haven’t had a single dominant: you should watch who steps up in the slot and boundary matchups (short routes / YAC opportunities). Players like Parker Washington have shown the ability to change field position on returns / chunk plays; special-teams & short-field plays could matter.

X-factors (small things that will have big effects)

1. Pass protection / pressure differential — who gets the QB time? (Herbert has been hit frequently in some games). If the Chargers O-line gives Herbert clean pockets, LA wins by creating chunk plays; if not, Jaguars can flip field position and force punts/turnovers.
2. Travis Etienne’s early success — keeps Chargers’ offense off the field and forces Herbert to win on fewer drives.
3. Turnovers & special teams — Jacksonville’s defense has created multi-turnover games; one or two takeaways will swing a 3–7 point game easily.

Key Matchups

• Likely best single-player impact: Justin Herbert — if he’s given time he’ll produce high-value drives and force Jacksonville to play catch-up. (High upside because of passing volume and efficiency).
• Likely single-player swing (disruptor): Chargers pass rush / Jaguars front (pressure & turnovers) — pressure on Herbert or a turnover by Jacksonville’s defense changes the game quickly.